Them Belly Full but We Hungry

Political instability is often fomented by episodes of food insecurity. What remains of interest is why rampant misery over sustenance has been largely ignored as a motivating condition for coup-plotters. I argue that food insecurity is a key measure for public disposition, and subsequently influences the calculus of actors capable of undertaking an attempt on the executive. Using a global sample, I find support that food insecurity is an important determinant for modeling military coups. Furthermore, in ensemble learning methods the feature for access to adequate nourishment exhibits strong predictive capacity. This lends credence to the notion that the lack of the basic human necessity – nutrition, resonates loudly at both societal and elite levels.